НЕЛІНІЙНИЙ ХАОС-ДИНАМІЧНИЙ АНАЛІЗ ЧАСОВИХ СЕРІЙ КОНЦЕНТРАЦІЙ АТМОСФЕРНОГО РАДОНУ 222Rn НА ОСНОВІ ДАНИХ АКТИВНОСТІ БЕТА ЧАСТИНОК РАДОНОВИХ МОНІТОРІВ

O. Yu. Khetselius, A. V. Glushkov, V. V. Buyadzhi, Yu. Ya. Bunyakova

Анотація


Робота присвячена розробці теоретичних основ нового універсального комплексного хаос-динамічного підходу до аналізу та прогнозування часових змін концентрації атмосферного радону 222Rn на основі даних активності бета-частинок радонових моніторів (з парою лічиль- ників Гейгера-Мюллера). Підхід послідовно включає в себе ряд нових або поліпшених методів аналізу (метод кореляційного інтегралу, фрактальний аналіз, алгоритми середньої взаємної інформації, помилкових найближчих сусідів, показників Ляпунова, схеми нелінійного прогнозування, спектральні методи і т.і.) для вирішення проблеми кількісно повного моделювання та аналізу часової еволюції концентрації атмосферної радону 222Rn. Вперше отримані дані про топологічні і динамічні інваріанти для часових рядів концентрації 222Rn, відкрито феномен детермінованого хаосу, використовуючи детальні дані вимірювань концентрацій радону на SMEAR II станції Фінського метеорологічного інституту

Ключові слова


Хаотична динаміка; часові ряди концентрації 222Rn; універсальний комплексний хаос-динамічний підхід; аналіз і прогнозування

Посилання


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